10PM Day 1 Convective Outlook for Wednesday, January 14. NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
SUMMARY
Isolated thunderstorms are possible across southeast Florida and the Keys today.
Synopsis
A large-scale upper trough will deepen and pivot eastward over the eastern half of the CONUS today. An embedded shortwave within the base of the large-scale trough will move across the eastern Gulf and FL today. This will provide large-scale ascent atop a stalled frontal boundary across the southern FL Peninsula. Adequate moisture will support modest buoyancy. However, lackluster lapse rates/warm temperatures through the midlevels will preclude strong-storm potential, though a few lightning flashes will be possible.