1PM Day 3 Convective Outlook for Monday, January 12. NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
SUMMARY
Thunderstorm potential appears low on Monday.
Synopsis
Dry and stable conditions will generally preclude thunderstorm development across the CONUS on Monday. A vigorous mid/upper shortwave trough is forecast to move southeast across the northern Plains and Upper Midwest. Farther south, an upper low is forecast to move northeast across northern Mexico, and begin to influence parts of southwest TX. Weak convective showers may accompany both of these systems, but very meager and shallow elevated buoyancy is expected to limit lightning potential.