1PM Day 3 Convective Outlook for Friday, February 27. NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
SUMMARY
General thunderstorms are likely over parts of the Southeast on Friday. Severe thunderstorms are not currently forecast.
Synopsis
A shortwave trough will move from the southern Plains toward the northern Gulf of America on Friday, with cooling aloft overspreading much of the Southeast. At the surface, a prominent ridge will extend from the Mid Atlantic across the TN and into the lower MS Valley, with a cold front roughly from SC into LA.
Near this front, rain and a few thunderstorms are likely to be ongoing from southern LA/MS/AL/GA into northern FL Friday morning. While clouds and precipitation may hamper heating, at least a few hundred J/kg MLCAPE appears likely given lower 60s F dewpoints and a plume of low-level theta-e extending out of the northern Gulf and across the FL Panhandle/southern AL/southern GA.
Given questionable destabilization and relatively weak boundary layer winds, potential for isolated strong/severe storms are not currently depicted.