1PM Day 3 Convective Outlook for Monday, February 9. NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST

SUMMARY

Thunderstorms are not expected on Monday.

Discussion

Cool air aloft will remain across the Pacific Northwest, but shortwave ridging aloft should limit overall thunderstorm potential. An upper-level low across northern Mexico will drift slowly east beneath a developing zonal pattern across the CONUS. Temperatures aloft will start to warm across southern Arizona and New Mexico. Therefore, expect the majority of the thunderstorm activity with this upper low to remain south of the border, across northern Mexico.