11AM Day 2 Convective Outlook for Tuesday, January 6. NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
SUMMARY
Thunderstorm potential is negligible on Tuesday and Tuesday night.
Synopsis
Thunderstorm potential remains limited across the country for tomorrow and tomorrow night. Latest guidance continues to show dry and/or stable conditions across the CONUS, which will limit the potential for lightning production. Isolated lightning strikes appear possible along/just off the WA coast between 9-12 UTC Wednesday as an upper low approaches the coast. However, model consensus is limited regarding the degree of inland buoyancy, so confidence remains low in thunderstorm potential. A sporadic lightning flash or two may also be possible across the lower Great Lakes within a weak warm advection regime, but as with the WA coast, confidence in any appreciable buoyancy remains too limited for 10% thunderstorm coverage.